While it is by no means clear that Donald Trump actually wants war with Iran – given the huge risks involved for the whole region – his strategy of brandishing the threat to destroy the JCPOA is certainly an attention-grabbing negotiating tactic. So too is brandishing the MEK as a terrorist threat against Iran. It is one of the cards which the anti-Iran pundits feel they can bring to the table. Promoting the MEK is about shuffling and arranging the negotiating cards because nobody, not even Iran’s enemies wants to pay the price of actual regime change.


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Avetis Avetis (@Avetis) Pinned comment
Unfortunately, a seemingly consistent pattern of hubris and arrogance of power seems to lead the politics in modern Iran. From Reza shah to his son to today’s ruler of Iran, historically speaking they all have been the most arrogant and the most corrupt, right before their downfalls.

Reza shah, towards the end of his rule while he was the biggest landowner of the country, was so confident he even collaborated with Germans, and faced the consequences. In the case of his son, the level of arrogance had reached the stages of changing national calendar, ‘celebrating 2500 years’ and calling his monarchy ‘an island of stability in the region.’ Even Jimmy Carter repeated those exact same words, almost verbatim, in his visit to Tehran. However, the defeated, stillborn revolution of 1979 proved otherwise. It could only be cruel irony that rulers of today’s Iran are also resorting to the same worn out tropes and metaphors of stability and omnipotence.

On a minor note, both monarchy and Islamic Republic also share the pretensions and ‘literature’ of ‘the Great Civilization.’ Such as shah’s (به‌سوی تمدن بزرگ) [Beh Soy Tamadon Bozrg], towards the great civilization. Or Khamenei’s references to leaps towards the great civilization. On a major note, Islamic Republic to a large extent is a replica of monarchy with a thin religious veneer, and a thoroughly sectarian, extremely violent version of religioun at that.

Islamic Republic, as a stillborn child of 1979, began its a transition from (ملوک الطوایفی) [Molok Ol’tavaefy] Ethnic Fiefdom to (شیوخ المساجدی) [Shoyouokh Ol’masajedi]. However this originally Mosque based Sheikhdom, after almost four decades, has metastasized into an order in which corruption is systematic, with a financial sector and financial services in dysfunctional ruin with deep structural crisis, and competing micro and macro statelets within the so called ‘Republic.’ Sepah and Aastan Ghods Razavy stand out as macro instances, and a seemingly endless network of wheeling and dealing, built on a vast nation-wide Informal economy (probably the most extensive in the world) represent the micro interests.

Aastan Ghods Razavy is popularly referred to as Empratory Ghods Razavy; The Empire of Ghods Razavy. Their motto would probably be ‘Towards the great empire!’

Metaphors of ‘an island of stability’ aside there are daily realities of today’s life in Iran which needs to be paid attention. The limited sampling below obviously constitutes only a fraction of what is happening and taking place in people’s everyday lives, on a daily basis. And while watching these moments, there ought to be a reminder that majority of grassroots actions go unreported and don’t get publicized in social media, or any other kind of media.

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ChamoshChamoshvnd ChamoshChamoshvnd (@ChamoshChamoshvnd) Pinned comment
This Islamic State in Iran has been the best gift to Western powers since 1979, why would any of them want to overthrow mullahs. The consistent line of most Western powers towards mullahs has been one of "attitude adjustment."
Mullahs were able to fascistically eliminate all secular and progressive forces in Iran and in a post JCPOA era have designs of turning Iran into the biggest Sweatshop in west Asia. What more could the West ask for.
It's amazing how the authors claim that "The country itself presents an enviable level of civic stability in the region." Such an outrageous assertion would be true if we consider life-time house arrest of a former prime minister, his wife and a former speaker of parliament "an enviable level of civic stability in the region!" To such an 'enviable level of civic stability" we could add, a total ban on social media of a former president. Highest rates for executions, closure of press and social media, systematic harassment, arrest, incarceration and torture of various social activists are also other facets of such 'enviable stability.'
In short this is a 'stability' built on bayonet and Basij thugs presence in every aspect of people's daily lives, take out the Basij and you'll see what will happen next.
Any analysis of Iran which is dismissive of contemporary Iranian social movements, disregards them at their own peril.
Fire under the ashes would a more realistic account of circumstances in today's Iran.
Iranian social movements overthrow the monarchy, and since there's no room for real reform Iranian social movements of today will do the same with Islamic State of Iran.*

*Islamic State of Iran is a much more apt description of mullahs state since in reality this so called 'Republic' is nothing but a farce and light years away from any true, genuine Republic. Besides mullahs themselves always refer to their government as Islamic State as well, not to mention how mullahs in Iran had introduced all prehistoric, medieval, savage Islamic laws decades before Taliban, ISIS,...

محمود علوی وزیر اطلاعات: آرامش بی نظیری بر کشور حاکم است

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iraj iraj (@iraj) Pinned comment
It was just whispered at the corner.
US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson is set to sit down next week for his first face-to-face encounter with Mohammad Javad Zarif, his Iranian counterpart.

Read more: www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2017/09/iran-us-new-york-meeting-september-20-joint-commission.html#ixzz4sxqvxuOM
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iraj iraj (@iraj) Pinned comment
Excellent analysis/observations of the current situation regarding Iran and Iran's enemies. As Mr Khodabandeh has indicated, Iranian government is here to stay, why?

"Following President Rouhani’s re-election in May 2017 many Middle East analysts arrived at the conclusion that the 78% turnout and clear majority was a clear enough indication that while the people of Iran do want greater political and social freedoms, they are prepared to seek this incrementally through civic pressure, not through violent regime change." -M. Khodabandeh

How could any Iranian inside and outside Iran advocate for regime change while witnessing the destruction of Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya (a country that got its independence the same year when Mossadegh's government was overthrown in 1951), Egypt and Syria?

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